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At some point we will be able to analyze data on a moderate numbers off cases and predict the costs of similar cases. An inspiration for this forecast is a computer system that predicts which death-row inmates are most likely to be executed, as described in Scientific Am., Vol. 299, Sept. 2008 at 36. Software analyzed data on about 1,000 death-row prisoners, including their sex, age, race, schooling and whether they were ultimately executed. When given similar information about 300 more prisoners, the logic developed from the first set of data correctly predicted the outcome for 92 percent of those cases.
Someday, when a group of law departments contribute sufficient data on certain matters, someone will use similar software to predict the likely cost of such matters (See my post pril 7, 2006 005
Some general counsel wander in the wilderness, sometimes for several years, before they become the top lawyer. Sandy McDade, for example, practiced for 20 years in Weyerhaeuser’s law department. He then left the department and spent six years in a strategic planning role and as the leader of the company’s Canadian subsidiary. At that point he rejoined the law department, but as the general counsel.
The tale of this unusual path comes from InsideCounsel, Oct. 2008 at 90. James Lipscomb, the current general counsel of Metropolitan Life also spent several years in business roles before assuming the top legal position. Other chief legal officers have gained experience outside the law department See my post of Aug. 3, 2005: career of Rosemary Berkery; and Nov. 6, 2005: GC of the Bank of Australia ran its strategy group.).
Cost-benefit analysis (CBA) resembles some decisions about non-hourly fee arrangements in that both are efforts to match what is paid against the value of what is gained.
A thoughtful article in the Bus. Lawyer, Vol. 63, Aug. 2008 at 1187, analyses closing opinions of counsel in terms of standard CBA methodology and assumptions. Among many points, the author emphasizes the difficulties of deciding before legal services are provided what should be paid for them. “[I]n certain important respects we may not know the benefits of a closing opinion without incurring the costs” (at 1190). Likewise, law departments often cannot put a financial value on legal work without first incurring the costs of that work.
Cost-benefit analysis could help with some of the decisions general counsel make about the return on investment (ROI) of various management initiatives (See my post of May 1, 2005: bill review software; May 14, 2005: knowledge management; Sept. 21, 2005: Cisco’s discovery lab; Nov. 19, 2005: Google’s law department; May 4, 2007: Holcim’s law department; May 14, 2005: knowledge management; June 16, 2006: various management actions; Aug. 16, 2006: portals; Dec. 9, 2006: electronic repositories of law-firm work product; Feb. 17, 2007: products and services; Jan. 14, 2007 GE’s claims; Oct. 8, 2007: knowledge management initiatives; Dec. 11, 2007: DuPont’s EDGE system
I have expressed my doubts about calculations of ROI (See my post of Sept. 28, 2007: criticism of ROI; March 12, 2006: nominal ROI calculations; July 31, 2005: implausible ROI calculations; and June 18, 2007: impossibility of calculating ROI for knowledge management.). CBA analysis offers some new approaches to thinking about ROI.

